Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.143397 0.153126 0.163260 0.174621 0.187024 0.200175 0.215202
2025-12-21 0.124533 0.138520 0.153881 0.172081 0.193156 0.216914 0.245894
2025-12-28 0.113684 0.129843 0.148214 0.170798 0.198027 0.230066 0.271018
2026-01-04 0.107541 0.125510 0.146528 0.173178 0.206428 0.247024 0.301097
2026-01-11 0.100985 0.119941 0.142634 0.172151 0.210047 0.257792 0.323692
2026-01-18 0.095017 0.114549 0.138401 0.170117 0.211871 0.265962 0.343049
2026-01-25 0.089528 0.109338 0.133953 0.167326 0.212249 0.271923 0.359482
2026-02-01 0.087199 0.107932 0.134164 0.170462 0.220491 0.288754 0.392141
2026-02-08 0.083223 0.104144 0.131005 0.168804 0.221937 0.296088 0.411463
2026-02-15 0.080224 0.101455 0.129108 0.168663 0.225351 0.306254 0.435595
2026-02-22 0.076417 0.097494 0.125275 0.165567 0.224264 0.309655 0.449408
2026-03-01 0.073752 0.094940 0.123211 0.164799 0.226421 0.317878 0.471304
2026-03-08 0.071569 0.092980 0.121911 0.165101 0.230241 0.328976 0.499030
2026-03-15 0.068594 0.089806 0.118775 0.162563 0.229613 0.333101 0.515472
2026-03-22 0.066266 0.087435 0.116652 0.161379 0.230929 0.340291 0.537642
2026-03-29 0.065138 0.086699 0.116819 0.163590 0.237611 0.356523 0.577117
2026-04-05 0.063151 0.084651 0.114981 0.162635 0.239156 0.364290 0.601881
2026-04-12 0.061020 0.082316 0.112622 0.160746 0.239043 0.369184 0.621628
2026-04-19 0.058820 0.079802 0.109899 0.158150 0.237601 0.371641 0.636845
2026-04-26 0.058236 0.079631 0.110659 0.161066 0.245464 0.390857 0.686711
2026-05-03 0.056514 0.077713 0.108699 0.159525 0.245664 0.396351 0.709423
2026-05-10 0.055243 0.076424 0.107648 0.159394 0.248254 0.406320 0.742322
2026-05-17 0.053355 0.074148 0.104993 0.156515 0.245877 0.406879 0.755207